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Renewables growth in China and normalising normalisation
MANIFEST, MISTRA, ENGAGE Tim Kozlov MANIFEST, MISTRA, ENGAGE Tim Kozlov

Renewables growth in China and normalising normalisation

Renewable power capacity additions in China often attract widespread attention for their sheer magnitude. But how useful are these raw numbers without considering the size of the country? Using installed capacity per capita and renewables’ share of national electricity production as illustrative examples, I make a case for normalising data when making inter-country comparisons. In addition to offering richer insights into the pace and extent of energy transitions, such analyses allow for a more nuanced view of change, help contextualise progress and set more realistic expectations.

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Feasibility of decarbonising electricity in G7 by 2035
MANIFEST, ENGAGE Tim Kozlov MANIFEST, ENGAGE Tim Kozlov

Feasibility of decarbonising electricity in G7 by 2035

G7 countries and the European Union have committed to decarbonise electricity by 2035. Is this target feasible? We show that it would require expanding low-carbon electricity 4.5 times faster and reducing fossil-based electricity 2 times faster than in 2015-2020 between 2020 and 2035. Unfortunately in 2021, most G7 countries increased the use of fossils and slowed down the growth of low-carbon electricity, making it even more challenging to achieve the target by 2035.

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Nuclear power worldwide is also affected by Russia’s war in Ukraine
ENGAGE, MANIFEST Márta Vetier ENGAGE, MANIFEST Márta Vetier

Nuclear power worldwide is also affected by Russia’s war in Ukraine

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has massively disrupted global and European energy markets. While most of the attention has focused on the EU’s dependence on Russian gas and oil supplies, Russia is also at the center of global nuclear power. The current crisis could lead to shifts in supplies of nuclear technologies which reverberate for decades to come.

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Effects of Russia’s war on European coal phase-out
CINTRAN Tim Kozlov CINTRAN Tim Kozlov

Effects of Russia’s war on European coal phase-out

As the EU wrestles when it can implement its embargo on Russian coal, a larger question looms over the future of coal in Europe. Does the war in Ukraine and concerns over natural gas risk delaying existing coal phase-out plans? Here we investigate this question by examining the energy security situation in different countries as well as the statements EU countries have made about their coal phase-out plans.

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Lessons for phasing out coal
CINTRAN, Contractions Tim Kozlov CINTRAN, Contractions Tim Kozlov

Lessons for phasing out coal

At COP26, 46 countries signed the ‘Global Coal to Clean Power Transition Statement’, ‘consigning coal to history’, including significant coal consumers such as Indonesia and Vietnam. Translating the experience of just transition policies from developed countries to emerging and developing economies is a crucial policy challenge to help implement these commitments. We developed a diagnostic tool to help researchers and policy makers most effectively translate these lessons.

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Feasibility of Germany’s newly proposed RES targets
Tim Kozlov Tim Kozlov

Feasibility of Germany’s newly proposed RES targets

The new German government aims to strengthen their RES targets to supply 80% of electricity by 2030. How challenging are they? What level of efforts is required to achieve them? I apply growth models and compare with other leading countries in developing renewables to discuss the feasibility of Germany achieving these targets.

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Towards a post-oil Alberta
Contractions Aleh Cherp Contractions Aleh Cherp

Towards a post-oil Alberta

Alberta has the third largest oil reserves in the world, after Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. In early 2015, profits from the oil sands made up about 5% of Canada’s GDP Canada’s highest incomes are found in the heart of oil-sand-country. However, Alberta’s real GDP contracted over 3.5% each in the years 2015 and 2016 due to the fall of oil prices. What does this experience tell us about contractions expected as a result of decarbonisation?

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Early history of wind power in Germany and the UK
Aleh Cherp Aleh Cherp

Early history of wind power in Germany and the UK

Before its fast expansion in the 2000s, wind power in the UK developed slower than in Germany. Why did this lag occur? While many early studies argued that it was due to a wrong selection of policy instruments, more careful look suggest that other factors may have played a role.

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Norwegian-funded research focuses on the dark side of energy transitions
Contractions Aleh Cherp Contractions Aleh Cherp

Norwegian-funded research focuses on the dark side of energy transitions

Energy transitions involve not only expanding wind, solar and other low-carbon technologies but also phasing out existing carbon-intensive sources such as coal. Introducing new energy sources is often easier to advocate as it involves no job or revenue losses. However, phasing out existing energy technologies is harder both economically and politically, though it is precisely what eventually reduces greenhouse gas emissions. In a new project, we focus at this unexplored dark side of energy transitions.

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